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Post When Will the Chinese Economy Catch Up to the US? Some Think it Already Has
Created by John Eipper on 07/24/13 5:22 AM

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When Will the Chinese Economy Catch Up to the US? Some Think it Already Has (Bienvenido Macario, USA, 07/24/13 5:22 am)

To Tor Guimaraes's post titled "China--When Will the Chinese Economy Catch Up to the US?" (23 July), JE commented: "In the US since the 2008 Crisis, we've seen a 'race to the bottom' of sorts, by which US labor is becoming globally competitive again. This is readily apparent in the automotive sector, where suppliers are returning production to the US. Plus there's the boom in US energy production. Is it possible that China will never catch up to the US economy? For all its faults, the US economic machine is more flexible and less corrupt than China's."

According to a report by the Pew Research Center, 53% in Britain believe China is the leading economy, while only 33% say it's the US.

In Germany, 60% believe China has already surpassed the US for the top position, while 19% think it's still the US.

In the survey of Latin American nations, 71% believe China will eventually become the leading superpower.

While I believe there is still time to reverse this trend, I don't think America has the political or moral will to regain its position as the leading and only superpower. Like the Spanish Empire, the US eclipse will be attributed to its abandonment of the Philippines and its failure to address the root of all "too big to fail" institutions, the US Congress.

See: China seen overtaking US as global superpower

By Jenny Cosgrave, Staff Writer | CNBC - Thu, Jul 18

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-seen-overtaking-us-global-070441562.html

JE comments:  Bienvenido Macario's thesis of the Philippines as the "graveyard of hegemons" is intriguing, but I don't buy it:  first of all, Spain did all it could to hold on to the Philippines pre-1898, while the US granted independence to the archipelago in 1946, at the beginning of its superpower status.  Or...perhaps there's a lesson to be learned in the "Macario Principle"?  Don't mess with the Philippines.  If that's the case, should the Philippines ever enter into the Chinese orbit, this doesn't bode well for China.

Returning to China's economy, the most surprising statistic in the above article is that 47% of Chinese believe their nation will never catch up, economically, to the US.  An equal number, 47%, believe that it has or will.


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