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PostUkraine War at Six Months: A Khanversation (Muqtedar Khan, USA, 08/26/22 3:39 am)
Here is my net assessment after six months of warfare between Russia and Ukraine.
Global Trends and Global Order after Six Months of Russia-Ukraine War
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JE comments: Give Muqtedar Khan fifteen minutes, and he'll give you the world. Another very insightful Khanversation, Muqtedar.
Your five points/consequences are spot-on, but I'd like to highlight two of them. First, Russia's (desperate?) hope that the upcoming "Putin Winter" will fragment the Western coalition, and second, your list of four winner nations in this senseless war: India, Saudi Arabia, Kazakhstan, and Turkey. There has never been a war that didn't benefit some, and your native India is adroitly playing both sides of the conflict--"solidarity" with the West, while enjoying the cheap Russian energy. No less fortunate is Saudi Arabia, which was on the verge of pariah status until the West had to approach it, hat in fist-bumping hand, to plead for more oil. And then there's Turkey's Erdogan, who used to be perceived as a Putin-lite, but by default has become a wise statesman.
Finally, there is a third point that often gets overlooked. The dire consequences for the food security of the world's most vulnerable nations, especially in Africa. If Western Europe is preparing to be chilly, there are African people facing starvation. The world desperately needs another Herbert Hoover, who fed millions in the wake of both World Wars.