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PostCompromise in Ukraine Would Be a Victory for All (Eugenio Battaglia, Italy, 06/08/22 8:35 am)
Commenting on my last post, our esteemed moderator asked: "Eugenio, what do you mean that Russia is fighting with one hand tied behind its back?"
I am not talking about the sanctions imposed on Russia. To be sure, these sanctions are self-defeating. The proof is in the massive inflation in all of the West, the shortage of items, companies going bankrupt, etc. In Italy, gasoline among other things has reached 9 dollars per gallon. And the ruble is stable at 60.01 rubles to the dollar, far away from the 1 to 200 predicted by Biden.
What I meant was that Russia's full fire potential has not been used at all.
Russia cannot lose this war. The outcome would be too disastrous. Already President Eisenhower said 70 years ago: "Worse than a defeat from Russia is Russia's defeat."
What will we do with a defeated, destroyed Russia?
The Poles know very well how to screw the Russians. On May 8th they organized in Warsaw a Forum of the Free Nations of the Russian Federation. This is a potential huge bomb placed under the seat of Putin and the Russian state. The weapons sent the Empire are just annoying flies in comparison.
The Russian Federation comprises 22 autonomous republics among the 85 federal entities, with 193 ethnic groups with 100 different languages and many different religions. If it loses the war a huge detonation would destabilize the state, with a continuous war among such entities. Of course this will include the participation of neighbors trying to take a good part of the Federation--for example Turkey, China or even some European democratic countries. Just remember that 51% of the Polish state in 1939 became Soviet in 1945.
Therefore it is imperative to reach peace as soon as possible, forgetting the usual BS propaganda about sacred democratic principles. Solving the well-being of Russophones in Ukraine and selling such a compromise would be a great victory for all.
JE comments: One hears/reads a lot of apres Putin, le deluge predictions. A realistic scenario or a mere excuse for appeasing a bully? Time will tell--or if Putin remains in power, possibly it won't.