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PostWill PM May Resign Soon? (Timothy Ashby, Spain, 05/23/19 3:57 am)
I believe that Eugenio Battaglia was referring to Theresa May's "10-Point" plan for her latest version of the Brexit withdrawal bill, officially planned for a vote on June 7th, but now this may not take place. Allowing Parliament --not the people--to vote on a second referendum was one of the ten points.
Again today the media is full of predictions from "senior Tories" that May will announce her resignation tomorrow, or next week, or before the summer recess. Such statements are as hackneyed as the MayBot's speeches (I attended a fundraising luncheon with her on Tuesday and her remarks were as lifeless and boring as those she has delivered hundreds of times previously--not a mention of Brexit though, possibly because she was aware that the would-be donors shared a collective anger over her mishandling of this and too many other vital issues). One prominent Tory described her a "hapless creature," a sorry example of the low state of UK politics.
I think May will indeed depart from office very soon, precipitated by what will certainly be disastrous results for the Tories in today's EU elections (the results of which will be published on Monday). She won't depart easily--today's edition of The Times quoted a "former Very Senior Tory" as saying "She's pushed the sofa against the door of No 10."
Boris Johnson is the odds-on favourite to succeed her, but he will probably disappoint Brexiteers as my sources advise that he doesn't really want a "no-deal" Brexit and is likely to "pivot" once he's in office. Regardless of who becomes the next Conservative leader, he or she will not be able to resolve the intractable problems with withdrawal from the EU, or heal the bitterness and widening chasms within the Party and the electorate. Meanwhile, Jeremy Corbyn is biding his time while his Marxist Momentum group is actively working at the grassroots level to build up support among voters who feel abandoned politically and economically. The news that British Steel has gone into receivership along with the closure of Jamie Oliver's chain of restaurants at a cost of thousands of jobs could not have come at a worse time for the Conservatives.
I predict that a General Election will be called to seek a way out of the Brexit chaos, resulting in a minority Labour government propped up by the Scottish National Party similar to the Northern Ireland DUP keeping the Tories in power now. The SNP's "deal" will involve another referendum for Scottish independence, which will pass. Bye-bye United Kingdom as we know it.
On a lighter note, a McDonalds restaurant in Edinburgh has been ordered by the police not to sell milkshakes out of concern that attacking Nigel Farage with banana shakes is being promoted on social media. Photo below.
JE comments: "Milkshaking" is gaining traction in the UK as a form of political protest. The tactics are sound: milkshakes are cheaper and less conspicuous than cream pies.
Tim Ashby's insider reports on British politics are pure gold. Thank you.