Login/Sign up

World Association of International Studies

PAX, LUX ET VERITAS SINCE 1965
Post Brazil Report: Jair Bolsonaro, President-Elect
Created by John Eipper on 10/29/18 3:14 AM

Previous posts in this discussion:

Post

Brazil Report: Jair Bolsonaro, President-Elect (Istvan Simon, USA, 10/29/18 3:14 am)

Yesterday, October 28th, Jair Bolsonaro defeated by ample margin Fernando Haddad in the runoff for the presidency of Brazil.

Haddad was the candidate of the PT, the Worker's Party, after their favorite candidate Lula sitting in jail for corruption was disqualified from running in accordance with legislation (which did not stop Lula from trying to run anyway from jail). As I write these lines, Brazilians in usual noisy fashion are celebrating the defeat of the PT on the streets, or perhaps the victory of Bolsonaro, or both.

The good news is that Haddad lost in the entire country, even in the North and Northeast, where the PT had its greatest strength. This seems to indicate a certain positive evolution of the population and the toll that the corruption of the PT finally may have taken politically. The bad news is that no one really knows what Bolsonaro will do.

The election was bitterly fought based much more on negative campaigning, attacks and fear-mongering on each side than on positive programs of what the candidates would do. The country has been polarized much like the United States under Trump's campaign and presidency.

Contrary to Trump, Bolsonaro declared that he will be a president for all Brazilians, even those who did not vote for him, but only the future will tell whether this is really what he will do. Trump certainly did not.

I also want to briefly acknowledge and thank the very excellent posts of Michael Sullivan and Tim Brown on the strategic interests of the United States in the Middle East, initiated by A. J Cave and continued by myself. I agree completely with both posts.

Michael is being too modest in his self-assessment. There is no need for security clearances to comment on this broad subject, and his training and experience as a US Marine General, are I think invaluable to reflect on this most important subject.

Indeed, keeping the straits of Hormuz open for navigation is obviously a strategic interest of the United States. As for Israel, once again Michael's comments are right on the dot, and his points on "settling scores" with Iran were identical to my stated position.

I had argued in my post that the three interests A.J. Cave had mentioned were tactical, not strategic. But a thought that occurred to me only more recently, is that individually each of these interests may be tactical rather than strategic, but as a combination, the more of these tactical interests we consider, the more it becomes strategic. In other words even a complete loss on a single of these tactical interests would not be a serious threat to our long-term survival, but the picture would change at some point to strategic the more we combine several of these individual tactical interests. In combination they could become strategic.

The various additional interests that Tim Brown added make this last point even more salient.

These points make me think of the damaging policies of the Trump administration withdrawing and undermining long-term alliances, which are deeply damaging to our strategic interests. We do depend vitally on these alliances. We simply cannot survive in the world without alliances with others, so by my definition this is a fundamental strategic interest. We cannot survive on our own in the modern world.

I am particularly grateful to Tim for mentioning global warming as a strategic interest. I wholeheartedly agree. climate change is currently the gravest threat to our national security. It is a major tragedy and blunder that the current US administration is so stupidly denying the science and the facts in this matter.

JE comments:  Bolsonaro is described as the Brazilian Trump, with his tough talk, willingness to offend, and promises to Make Brazil Great (Again?).  His victory can probably best be understood as the public's disgust with corruption under the long-ruling PT.  Cynics will say that now it's the Right's turn at the feed-trough.

I understood from Istvan's comment that he is currently in São Paulo.  This is a historic time to be in Brazil, Istvan.  Please keep us updated on the local mood.


SHARE:
Rate this post
Informational value 
Insight 
Fairness 
Reader Ratings (0)
0%
Informational value0%
Insight0%
Fairness0%

Visits: 95

Comments/Replies

Please login/register to reply or comment: Login/Sign up

Trending Now



All Forums with Published Content (41741 posts)

- Unassigned

Culture & Language

American Indians Art Awards Bestiary of Insults Books Conspiracy Theories Culture Ethics Film Food Futurology Gender Issues Humor Intellectuals Jews Language Literature Media Coverage Movies Music Newspapers Numismatics Philosophy Plagiarism Prisons Racial Issues Sports Tattoos Western Civilization World Communications

Economics

Capitalism Economics International Finance World Bank World Economy

Education

Education Hoover Institution Journal Publications Libraries Universities World Bibliography Series

History

Biographies Conspiracies Crime Decline of West German Holocaust Historical Figures History Holocausts Individuals Japanese Holocaust Leaders Learning Biographies Learning History Russian Holocaust Turkish Holocaust

Nations

Afghanistan Africa Albania Algeria Argentina Asia Australia Austria Bangladesh Belgium Belize Bolivia Brazil Canada Central America Chechnya Chile China Colombia Costa Rica Croatia Cuba Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark East Europe East Timor Ecuador Egypt El Salvador England Estonia Ethiopia Europe European Union Finland France French Guiana Germany Greece Guatemala Haiti Hungary Iceland India Indonesia Iran (Persia) Iraq Ireland Israel/Palestine Italy Japan Jordan Kenya Korea Kosovo Kuwait Kyrgyzstan Latin America Liberia Libya Mali Mexico Middle East Mongolia Morocco Namibia Nations Compared Netherlands New Zealand Nicaragua Niger Nigeria North America Norway Pacific Islands Pakistan Palestine Paraguay Peru Philippines Poland Polombia Portugal Romania Saudi Arabia Scandinavia Scotland Serbia Singapore Slovakia South Africa South America Southeast Asia Spain Sudan Sweden Switzerland Syria Thailand The Pacific Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan UK (United Kingdom) Ukraine USA (America) USSR/Russia Uzbekistan Venezuela Vietnam West Europe Yemen Yugoslavia Zaire

Politics

Balkanization Communism Constitutions Democracy Dictators Diplomacy Floism Global Issues Hegemony Homeland Security Human Rights Immigration International Events Law Nationalism NATO Organizations Peace Politics Terrorism United Nations US Elections 2008 US Elections 2012 US Elections 2016 Violence War War Crimes Within the US

Religion

Christianity Hinduism Islam Judaism Liberation Theology Religion

Science & Technology

Alcohol Anthropology Automotives Biological Weapons Design and Architecture Drugs Energy Environment Internet Landmines Mathematics Medicine Natural Disasters Psychology Recycling Research Science and Humanities Sexuality Space Technology World Wide Web (Internet)

Travel

Geography Maps Tourism Transportation

WAIS

1-TRIBUTES TO PROFESSOR HILTON 2001 Conference on Globalizations Academic WAR Forums Ask WAIS Experts Benefactors Chairman General News Member Information Member Nomination PAIS Research News Ronald Hilton Quotes Seasonal Messages Tributes to Prof. Hilton Varia Various Topics WAIS WAIS 2006 Conference WAIS Board Members WAIS History WAIS Interviews WAIS NEWS waisworld.org launch WAR Forums on Media & Research Who's Who